Bitcoin Price Prediction Signals Risk of Major 60% Drop

Bitcoin Price Prediction Highlights MACD Risk and Downside Trends

Bitcoin trades near $86,740 after a narrow intraday range between $85,000 and $88,000. The markets have recorded firm activity with an increase in volume implying active participation.  The structure is slightly upward, but analysts are concerned about a new alarm signal on the monthly chart.

Source:Coinmarketcap

Recent analysis shows that monthly MACD has turned negative which is a rare technical indicator that has been followed by significant market reversal in the past. The indicator indicates a declining strength around the rejection zone of just under $110,000, which casts doubt on the continuity of the trend.

Bitcoin Price Prediction Highlights MACD-Linked Correction Risk

Historical data identifies three major periods when the MACD crossed downward. Each event triggered significant downside. In 2018, BTC fell about 53%. In early 2020, the decline extended near 63%. The 2022 drop reached almost 68%. These outcomes form an average decline near 60%, creating a reference point for the current phase.

Source:X

The current chart aligns with the earlier cycles. It shows a sharp monthly rejection as the MACD histogram moves into negative territory. Analysts interpret this setup as a structural warning that momentum may weaken further. If BTC follows historical behavior, price action could shift toward the $40,000 area. This zone matches earlier long-term accumulation regions and aligns with technical projections in this bitcoin price prediction.

Market participants observe these signals as part of broader cycle behavior. The pattern suggests a multi-month phase rather than immediate volatility. Past MACD reversals unfolded gradually, shaping long-term market structure over extended periods rather than single-month moves.

Experts Monitor Market Behavior as Forecasts Gain Attention

Industry analysts point out that the present situation is similar to the top of past cycles. The monthly chart form can be described as high-risk, where a recent X post highlighted this danger. Other analysts feel that traders ought to observe the trends in volume because when there is an increase in volume, it indicates the directional intent.

Longer-term speculations include bitcoin price prediction 2026 and bitcoin price prediction 2030 where analysts consider how more substantial corrections can affect future recovery patterns. These forecasts are also linked to more comprehensive Crypto price Prediction which test the long term market patterns.

Future Outlook Suggests Prolonged Adjustment Phase

While short-term movement remains confined within a tight range, long-term signals point to possible structural adjustment.The analysts believe that in the case of BTC holding the present levels, there will be a long period of consolidation. When bearish momentum gains strength, price action towards more profound support is more likely, which aligns with this btc price prediction outlook.

Investors are now tracking some of the major technical signals as the market moves towards a possible transition period of multi-months.