Dogecoin is facing one big choice point as volatility is narrowed by long-run compression. The analysts opine that the future trend will depend on the movements around the $0.16 support and $0.185 resistance levels to decide whether DOGE will move upwards or continue with the consolidation process.
DonOfCharts, an analyst, identifies a long-term symmetrical triangle structure on the Dogecoin chart, adding that price remains trapped between a price decline resistance line in the 2021 high and an upward price trendline that originated in the middle of 2022.
The coin is trading now around $0.177, which is slightly below the mid-point of this structure, meaning that it is less volatile and the trading range is getting smaller.

Source: X / DonOfCharts
As per the analysis, the most important level of support is the level of $0.16. A failure lower than this level might open the gateway to the zone of $0.12-$0.14, which is in line with past consolidation periods over several months.
On the contrary, an established breakout of the upper border of the triangle can shift the long-term momentum to the bullish continuation, and the potential upside level is about $0.58, as shown on the chart.
Another analyst review by BitGuru proposes to enhance the short-term momentum since DOGE is already developing a higher-lows pattern, which means the resumption of buyer interest.
The token has formed a strong foundation at around $0.155 and then has been able to climb back to the price levels of around $0.180-$0.185, where the market has been rejecting the price.

Source: X / BitGuru
BitGuru observes that a close that is convincing above $0.185 can be followed with a continuation into the $0.19-$0.20 resistance level. Not breaking the ceiling could lead to a temporary reversal around the $0.175, so as to gain ground again and then make another attempt higher.
Widened market indications of the Dogecoin Bubble Risk framework indicate that speculation is moderate relative to the peaks of the previous cycles. In the past, bubble risks were high and were accompanied by acute rallies in 2017,2018, 2021, and 2024.

Source: TradingView / Bubble Risk Model
Since the price has been in the range of above $0.10 and the volatility is already compressed into a multi-year apex, the next significant movement will be the one where DOGE will move towards the bottom of the long-term triangle structure.
Ronny Mugendi is an experienced crypto journalist with four years of professional expertise, having made substantial contributions to multiple media platforms covering cryptocurrency trends and innovations. With more than 4,000 published articles to his name, he is dedicated to informing, educating, and bringing more people into the world of Blockchain and DeFi. Beyond his journalism work, Ronny finds excitement in bike riding, enjoying the adventure of exploring fresh trails and landscapes.