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BITCOIN Price Prediction 2023-2030: Journey from Mirage to Reality

Key Takeaways
  • Crypto market capitalization plummeted significantly to $1.09 trillion.
  • The downward slope of Bitcoin's 200-day moving average, indicates a prevailing weakening trend.
19-Aug-2023 Lokesh Gupta
BITCOIN Price Prediction 2023-2030: Journey from Mirage to Reality

"An Introduction to Bitcoin: A Concise Overview"

In 2009, the world witnessed the emergence of Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency introduced by the enigmatic Satoshi Nakamoto. Notably, this marked the inception of blockchain technology. Its early years saw Bitcoin with little value, but in 2013, a shift occurred as it began gaining recognition. The watershed moment arrived in 2017, with the first Bitcoin boom propelling its value beyond $15,000, almost touching the $20,000 threshold. This pattern persisted through subsequent surges in 2020 and 2021, as Bitcoin reached new all-time highs.

The pinnacle was reached in 2021 when Bitcoin's value peaked at an astonishing $69,000. However, challenges weren't absent. By December 2022, amidst what was termed the "crypto winter," Bitcoin's value plummeted to as low as $15,480. But a new dawn emerged in January 2023. BTC surged, amassing an impressive 93.50% year-to-date increase by July 13, momentarily breaching the long-resisted $30,000 mark.

Following this achievement, Bitcoin embarked on a trajectory marked by lateral movement and periodic declines, vacillating between the $28,500 support and $30,500 resistance thresholds. Despite intermittent breakthroughs, the coin repeatedly established lower troughs, briefly slipping below the $28,500 support and touching a two-month low near $25,200. Presently, its value hovers around $26,000 as of the time of writing.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Snapshot: Current Market Evaluation

Bitcoin's current valuation rests at $25,800, coinciding with a robust 24-hour trading volume amounting to $19.43 billion. This figure aligns with a market capitalization of $503 billion, affording Bitcoin a substantial 49.09% dominance over the cryptocurrency market. A scrutiny of the past 24-hour timeframe reveals a downtrend, resulting in a noteworthy 2.20% decrease in Bitcoin's price. Pertaining to supply dynamics, the circulating Bitcoin tally stands at 19.46 million BTC, while the upper echelon of potential supply is set at 21.00 million BTC.

Bitcoin Overview

Bitcoin Price

$26000

Bitcoin Price Change 24h

1.60%

Bitcoin Price Change 7d

13.00%

Bitcoin Market Cap

$504,450,652,314

Bitcoin Circulating Supply

19,461,631 BTC

Bitcoin Trading Volume

$19,329,029,129

Bitcoin All time high

$69000

Bitcoin All time low

$0.05

Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index

39

Bitcoin Sentiment

Bearish

Bitcoin Volatility

1.19%

Bitcoin 50-Day SMA

$29580

Bitcoin 100-Day SMA

$28530

Bitcoin 200-Day SMA

$27305

Bitcoin 14-Day RSI

18.57

Latest News

Europe's Pioneer Bitcoin ETF: London's Jacobi Asset Management has introduced its Bitcoin ETF on Euronext Amsterdam on August 15th. This event signifies the first-ever launch of a Bitcoin ETF in Europe, surpassing the United States in its inaugural release. The ETF is listed with the ticker symbol BCOIN.

SEC Delays Spot Bitcoin ETF: The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has opted to delay its verdict regarding the approval of the spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications put forward by Ark Investment Management, helmed by Cathie Wood. This decision was revealed through a regulatory document published on August 11th.

SEC Seeks Feedback, Extends Timeline: The SEC has initiated public input on the Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF proposal, potentially extending the decision period from weeks to months. Initially due by Aug. 13.

Tether Plans BTC Mining Software Enhancement: Tether is launching JavaScript libraries for Bitcoin mining hardware like WhatsMiner, AvalonMiner, and Antminer. Some software could go open-source, aiming to boost mining efficiency.

Bitcoin ETF Outlook Improves: Bloomberg Intelligence analysts predict a 65% likelihood of a U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF launch this year, up from their prior estimate of 50%, amid recent developments.

Leading institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, WisdomTree, and Valkyrie seek accessible Bitcoin investment via spot ETFs. While past SEC rejections occurred, optimism remains for approval, especially for BlackRock due to its historically low ETF denials.

Bitcoin Technical Analysis

Bitcoin's trajectory raises concerns, with RSI at a yearly low on the 4-hour chart, indicating waning investor interest and a potential drop below $20,000. The bearish trend began after unverified rumors of SpaceX selling Bitcoin to limit losses, amplified by social media, driving widespread selling. Additionally, the US Federal Reserve hinting at interest rate hikes worsened sentiment.

Bitcoin has dropped significantly, breaching $26,000. Analyzing the 4-hour candlestick chart, it's entrenched in a bearish zone, struggling for support. While finding some at $26,000 after a pullback, sustained selling pushed it lower. Key support is at $25,200; failure to hold above might lead to a drop below $25,000, nearing $20,000.

The 50-day MA at $28,585 is below the 200-day MA at $29,240, signaling a bearish trajectory. On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin is below both MAs. The RSI plummeted below 10.00, marking a year-low, reflecting stronger selling pressure.

The 4-hour Williams Percent Range (W%R) at -78.8 suggests oversold conditions, but it doesn't guarantee reversal. Anticipating continuation of the downtrend is rational.

Considering these indicators, the bearish sentiment dominates. Price analysis suggests a selling recommendation. The MACD indicator with the MACD line crossing below the signal line supports this, alongside decreased trading volume indicating negative sentiment.

In summary, technical factors align for a negative Bitcoin outlook. The prevailing momentum emphasizes the bearish stance, advocating selling.

Bitcoin Price Prediction 2023

Up until mid-April, 2023 seemed promising for Bitcoin, with an 83% surge in four months due to high inflation driving investors to consider it as an inflation-proof asset like gold.

However, Bitcoin's momentum stalled as inflation eased and interest rates remained high, causing a shift from BTC to treasury bills. Increased regulatory scrutiny made institutional investors wary, leading to reduced digital asset holdings.

Presently, Bitcoin's Fear and Greed Index is at 39, indicating fear, contrasting with the previous month's 66, denoting greed. This index factors in volatility, trading volume, social sentiment, and search trends.

Bitcoin's price struggled to breach the $30,000 resistance, instead testing $25,000 support repeatedly. The chart suggests support at $25,200, $21,500, and $18,500. The $21,500 level could offer stronger and longer-term support.

In a pessimistic scenario, Bitcoin might test $18,500 support or even revisit the 2022 low of $15,480.

Bitcoin Price Prediction 2024

By the end of 2023, Bitcoin's price is expected to stabilize near $21,500, serving as a base for gradual 2024 recovery. 2024 holds improved macroeconomics, with anticipated US interest rate cuts likely boosting BTC investment. Potential US legislation for crypto regulations could attract new investors to Bitcoin.

However, rapid 2024 surges seem unlikely due to cautious investor sentiment post-2023's breakout failure. Bitcoin is projected to ascend to $25,200 support/resistance level in 2024, a possible reclaim of the $31,000 peak depends on significant catalysts. Alternatively, if macroeconomic recovery falters, BTC might retest the 2022 low around $15,500.

Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025

In 2025, Bitcoin's price is projected to continue its ascent, driven by the macroeconomic effects from 2024.

Potential interest rate decreases, especially if inflation remains low in 2024, may support the rise. Stricter regulations on crypto altcoins could attract new investors to the crypto market, with many opting to hold Bitcoin.

Increased crypto market regulation might encourage institutional funds, like retirement funds, to invest in Bitcoin. This could potentially unlock trillions of dollars in previously restricted funds. Presently, Fidelity is the main US 401(k) plan provider offering Bitcoin investment.

2025 Bitcoin price prediction is $45,200, lower than the all-time high but close to the stabilization point before and after that peak.

A more bullish scenario anticipates a rise to $53,000, while a bearish prediction envisions BTC hovering around $21,500. This outcome could occur if investors don't embrace Bitcoin despite its improved fundamentals.

Bitcoin Price Prediction 2026

Initially, the Bitcoin price might display signs of a minor correction, with fluctuations around the $68,000 mark for a few weeks. As the rally loses its vigor, a gradual descent could ensue, marking a weakening trend. This correction could amplify, leading to a substantial decrease of 40% to 50% from the new all-time high (ATH) by the first half of 2026.

The latter half of the year may usher in a more pronounced shift into a bearish phase, signaling the onset of a fresh bear market. This bearish period could result in a decline exceeding 60% in value, potentially pushing levels below $50,000. As the year concludes, Bitcoin's price might hover within the range of $48,500 to $51,500.

Bitcoin Price Prediction 2027

Anticipated from the start of 2027, a consolidating trend is likely as the bulls adopt a passive stance. The price could stabilize around $50,000 for an extended period, signaling strengthening bullish forces. Progressing into the latter half of the year, Bitcoin's price is projected to escalate its positive momentum, prompting a robust recovery. This upward trajectory could persist until year-end, potentially concluding with a trade closure in the range of $59,680 to $64,000.

Bitcoin Price Prediction 2028

The 5th Halving event is poised to ignite another wave of bullish sentiment for the Bitcoin price in 2028. As the recovery phase initiates, the bulls are thought to have gathered substantial strength since the year's commencement. While the price may sustain an upward trajectory, its pace could be moderated due to the presence of a bearish impact. Nevertheless, this influence is projected to wane in the latter half of the year, potentially setting the stage for a robust resurgence. By year-end, Bitcoin's price could ascend beyond $75,000, settling around $76,800.

Bitcoin Price Prediction 2029

The year's onset is expected to witness substantial bullish power as buying pressure accumulates significantly. This elevated trend is likely to persist, with dominant bullish influence throughout the year. By mid-2029, the price could surpass $85,000. In the latter half, the upswing is anticipated to intensify, initiating a bull run. This surge could lead to a new all-time high (ATH) exceeding $90,000, concluding the year's trading in the range of $92,000 to $95,000.

Bitcoin Price Prediction 2030

Looking forward to 2030, predicting Bitcoin's price becomes more uncertain due to the rapid pace of the crypto industry. Seven years ago, Bitcoin was priced at around $600.

However, we anticipate continued growth in Bitcoin's value. Factors such as the potential introduction of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) could encourage a broader shift towards digital asset payments.

Bitcoin might also benefit from its scarcity, as it approaches the maximum limit of 21 million tokens, with all available BTC projected to be mined by 2140.

There's a possibility that Bitcoin might breach the significant $100,000 price level. Alternatively, its role in global investment might be more subdued.

Can halving events continue to drive up Bitcoin prices?

Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million tokens, and currently, about 19.46 million are in circulation as of Aug 19, 2023. To manage the issuance of new tokens, the cryptocurrency experiences halving events approximately every four years. These events reduce supply and contribute to its increased value.

After each halving, BTC has historically enjoyed a bull market lasting from 12 to 15 months. The previous three halvings in 2012, 2016, and 2020 yielded price surges of 9,915%, 2,949%, and 665%, respectively.

Interestingly, the influence of each halving on BTC's price surge seems to be diminishing. While halvings continue to excite the crypto community, their impact on price appreciation might be tapering off.

Upcoming Bitcoin halvings are slated for 2028 and 2032, and their effect on the cryptocurrency's 2030 price prediction remains uncertain. However, as with any investment, thorough research and investing prudently are essential. Despite this, many experts remain optimistic that upcoming Bitcoin halvings will mirror past trends.

What Is Bitcoin's Future? Is Bitcoin a wise investment?

Considering the array of price projections and expert insights, it's understandable that Bitcoin's potential to replace global currencies leads to varied value estimates, ranging from thousands to over $1 million per BTC. This disruptive technology has driven a transformation in conventional finance, with cryptocurrencies making headway in everyday use and acceptance.

Today, Bitcoin's reach is extensive; it can even be bought at grocery stores via Coinstar machines. Major platforms like PayPal and Venmo offer access, and significant players like VISA have embraced it. As the trend gains momentum, institutions and corporations are also delving into BTC investment.

Irrespective of the specific predictions mentioned, the dynamic nature of Bitcoin's volatility continues to create investment and trading prospects.

For More Blogs:- Will the Cryptocurrency Market Recover in 2023?

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