Crypto markets are buzzing with Bitcoin (BTC) at the center of momentum, which, after several sideways moves, is tempting traders with decisive behavior. Formation of charts and historical pumps with newly formed institutional demand are all coming together to form the next leg of this rally.
Analysts on the 4-hour chart presented an inverse head and shoulders structure as a strong bullish reversal sign. The neckline of about $114,800 is scrutinized heavily with numerous tests demonstrating buyers pressing harder with each effort. More so, a breakout above that resistance would confirm the setup, paving the way for an extension toward $118,000–$120,000.
However, in the instance of rejection, a pullback toward $112,000–$113,000 is possible before a second attempt on the higher side.

BTCUSD 4-H CHART | SOURCE: X
Moreover, a positive price trend in the recent past is strengthening the bullish case as it indicates that Bitcoin is above the psychological price of $115,000 at $116,500 and with an upward trend of higher lows. The support of $114,000 has been strong and has served as a springboard on several occasions to recoveries. In the meantime, conviction buying is supporting the trading structure, which, despite a slight decline in 24-hour volume, has strong liquidity.

BTCUSD 1M CHART | SOURCE: X
Market depth and pattern both appear to be converging to maintain positive pressure to the upside. However, the level of resistance in the $120,000 zone cannot be overlooked in determining the next stage in this technical environment.
More so, this analysis is backed by history through past cycles, which point to October as a turning point. Furthermore, major rallies in the past five years, followed by an October breakout, indicate that seasonality could serve as a springboard. Such a coincidence of technicals with the repetition of past movement increases the argument of an eventual advance.

BTCUSD 1-D CHART | SOURCE: CoinMarketCap
Moreover, the bullish argument is not limited to the chart. An institutional belief was highlighted when Metaplanet bought $600 million Bitcoin, now owning 30,823 BTC, last week. These acquisitions lead to a supply tightening, which leads to price momentum.
Moreover, the capitalized market of $2.31 trillion makes the token supreme against a backdrop of strengthened liquidity and investor trust.
Institutional adoption is restructuring the cryptocurrency environment, with BTC as a macro hedge growing amid companies building strategic holdings. Meanwhile, cross-exchange and wider ecosystem upgrades continue to increase access. As supply in circulation gets closer to 19.92 million out of the 21 million cap, scarcity is manifested, enhancing long-term value dynamics.
Bitcoin is on the path to a neckline breakout in the short term. Long-term trends might help push prices up to an annual-end target of $125,000, while a breach of resistance could cause a short-term decline. At present, there are technical and fundamental reasons to expect resilience, as October's rhythm is preconditioning another chapter.
Ronny Mugendi is an experienced crypto journalist with four years of professional expertise, having made substantial contributions to multiple media platforms covering cryptocurrency trends and innovations. With more than 4,000 published articles to his name, he is dedicated to informing, educating, and bringing more people into the world of Blockchain and DeFi. Beyond his journalism work, Ronny finds excitement in bike riding, enjoying the adventure of exploring fresh trails and landscapes.