Ethereum (ETH) price, trading just above the $4,050 mark after weeks of volatility, has yet again attracted the attention of the crypto market. Recently, the token recovered from a sharp sell-off that pitched it toward $3,800, a level that has time and again held as a strong base.
More so, whales are trading massively against ETH, while technical indicators are flashing mixed signals. This has left traders with a decision to make as to whether the asset is set to experience a long-lasting recovery or another decline.
Ethereum price on the 4-hour chart shows consolidation around $4,093 after failing to hold highs near $4,800 earlier this month. Coinciding with the 9-period SMA at $4,050, the rebound from $3,800 signaled that a short-term recovery attempt is possible. At the same time, the MACD has crossed bullish, which indicates that momentum is moving towards buyers as suggested by histogram bars.

ETHUSD 4-H CHART | SOURCE: TradingView
However, resistance is firm between $4,400 and $4,500, where sellers repeatedly capped upside moves. More so, in the case of bulls, reclaiming the level of $4,400 will be vital in retesting $4,750-$4,800, where failure will mean reversing back to $3,800 and even $3,600.
Conversely, whale activities complicate the technical aspect. Smart wallet 0x69e4 has just opened a 25x short of $54.4M at $4,112, and is liquidated to $4,399.7. This aggressive trade pointed out the anticipation of almost-immediate weakness, although the framework pointed to a recovery. With such positions in play, price swings could intensify as liquidity hunts become a factor.
SOURCE: X
Beyond charts, Ethereum price holds the center of institutional interest. Most importantly, staking yields are attracting large investors, while increased adoption is supported by upgrades in scalability and DeFi integratio. Comparatively, Solana and BNB have drawn liquidity through new projects and ecosystem expansion, although ETH leads as Layer-1 for smart contracts.
In addition, the clear regulatory frameworks emerging in Europe and Asia have helped restore risk confidence, which allows capital to flow back into crypto markets.
Additionally, Ethereum’s long-term valuation is highlighted by its ecosystem growth. Institutions are accumulating exposure through ETFs and structured products, while staking demand’s growth has locked more tokens out of circulation. Furthermore, DeFi protocols are attracting larger total value locked, while NFT and gaming use apps continue to attract more users.
In addition, capital efficiency is also enhanced by cross-chain integrations, further increasing the attractiveness of Ethereum as a base layer.
Moreover, in the short term, Ethereum price forecasting is neutral between whale-driven shorts and indicators of technical recovery. There is upside potential should ETH break above $4,400 with a target of $4,750-$4,800.
However, there is a risk on the downside if it breaks $4,050, though the next level of support is $3,800. Furthermore, should a more severe sell-off happen, losses could expand to $3,600. With a solid foundation behind the network and sentiment established by leveraged shorts, ETH now stands at a big crossroad, the next major step being defined by momentum.
Ronny Mugendi is an experienced crypto journalist with four years of professional expertise, having made substantial contributions to multiple media platforms covering cryptocurrency trends and innovations. With more than 4,000 published articles to his name, he is dedicated to informing, educating, and bringing more people into the world of Blockchain and DeFi. Beyond his journalism work, Ronny finds excitement in bike riding, enjoying the adventure of exploring fresh trails and landscapes.