Fed Minutes Show Caution as Rate Cut Pause Hits Broader Markets

Today’s Fed Minutes Meeting Crux: Inflation Worries Split Policymakers

The latest US FED Minutes have sent a cautious signal to broader markets. While the Federal Reserve announced its expected December rate cut, several policymakers now want to pause more easing. 

Source: Official Release

The close 9–3 vote and concerns about inflation signaled that interest rates may stay higher for longer. This shift has reduced estimations for frequent interest cuts in 2026 and calmed risk appetite across markets. 

For investors in risk assets, the Fed Minutes impact on crypto is becoming more important– could this hinder Bitcoin’s next move?

Fed Minutes Today: What the Federal Reserve Said

As per the FOMC Minutes release today, Federal Reserve officials remain divided on opinions. Some regulators showed concerns over increasing unemployment, while others noted inflation as the bigger threat. 

The Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that the current interest rates level – sitting between 3.5% and 3.75%, is ideal to give the authorities room to wait and study incoming data. Taking the statement, several members suggested keeping rates unchained after December, giving more to confirm inflation is moving back toward the 2% target or not. 

But, why is the Federal Reserve turning careful?

The rate cut decision is becoming harder due to mixed signals from the economy data:

• Inflation remains above the targeted 2% after nearly five years: Core PCE price index at 2.9% (Sept 2025)

• The economy is still resilient: Q3 2025 GDP growth +4.3% annualized (fastest in 2 years).

• Unemployment is rising slowly: 4.6% in Nov 2025 (up gradually from ~4.1% early-year).

• Trump-era tariffs could still push prices higher.

Cautious regulators fear cutting rates too fast could send the wrong message about the central bank’s commitment to fighting cost pressures. 

Fed Minutes Impact on Market 

U.S. stock markets reacted cautiously after the Fed minutes showed growing disagreement over rate cuts. 

Where S&P fell 9.50 points to 6896.24 (-14%), Nasdaq went 55.27 points down at 23,419 (-0.24%). 

The Dow Jones Industrial average also dropped 94.87 points to 48,367.06 (-20%).

The downturn shows the immediate reaction of the traditional trading space to the 9–3 Fed vote and concerns that inflation could keep rates higher longer.

Cryptocurrency’s Reaction to FOMC Meeting

The Fed Minutes impact on cryptocurrencies are generally immediate. Hawkish language tends to reduce liquidity expectations, which matters for assets like Bitcoin that do not offer yield.

Analysts note that while Bitcoin’s scarcity and ETF inflows offer long-term support, short-term price action depends heavily on liquidity expectations.

In simple terms:

• More rate cuts = positive for crypto

• Pause or delay = short-term headwind

Historically, crypto struggles during pauses in rate cuts, like over the 2019 and 2022 Federal Reserve pauses, Bitcoin saw an average of 15% down-trend. 

But looking at today’s scenario, the crypto market is showing a stabilization period as it is up 1.04% today with a 0.95% weekly gain. 

Source: CoinMarketCap Data

What Comes Next?

Looking forward, the next meeting of the Federal Reserve is set for January, 2026, which will be critical. Officials will have fresh data on jobs, inflation, and spending. If inflation cools further or unemployment rises faster, rate cuts could resume, reviving risk assets.

Until then, the investors of both traditional and risk assets suggest caution. Markets are entering 2026 with fewer rate cuts priced in, higher uncertainty and  dependence on economic data, but still possessing strong confidence.