The US CPI Data release date is here, and markets are waiting for clues about the economy’s next move. The release today time is set for 8:30 AM ET on September 11, with expectations pointing to 2.9% year-over-year growth.
Source: X
In July 2025, the annual Consumer Price Index stood at 2.7%, while monthly inflation slowed from 0.3% to 0.2%. Core inflation, which leaves out food and energy, rose 3.1% from a year ago, slightly up from 3% in June. Monthly core inflation also ticked up from 0.2% to 0.3%.
Economists now expect August CPI to rise 0.3% month-over-month and 2.9% annually. Some forecasts are slightly higher—Goldman Sachs sees core Consumer Price Index climbing 0.36% monthly, which could lift the annual rate to 3.13%.
This release comes as recent U.S. jobs details hinted at labor market weakness, fueling fed rate cut expectations at the upcoming FOMC meeting.
Just a day earlier, the Producer Price Index (PPI) showed signs of easing. Headline PPI inflation rose 2.6% year-over-year in August, down from July’s revised 3.1% and below forecasts of 3.3%. Month-over-month PPI fell by 0.1%, after a sharp 0.7% rise in July.
Core PPI also slowed—falling 0.1% monthly and easing to 2.8% annually from 3.4%. This softer reading briefly pushed down U.S. Treasury yields and the United States dollar, while U.S. stock indexes touched new highs. Gold prices also saw a short-lived rise.
This optimistic mood spilled over into digital assets. In the last 24 hours, the global crypto market cap rose 1.67% to $3.96 trillion. Bitcoin gained 1.36% to reach $113,908.70, while Ethereum climbed 1.92% to $4,409. Other major altcoins like Solana, XRP, and Cardano also saw price jumps. This explains why is crypto going up today despite wider market uncertainty.
Traders are now asking: Will crypto market crash again or continue its rally? Analysts outline three clear scenarios:
If CPI comes below 2.9%, Bitcoin and altcoins could see sharp gains. Market strategist Tom Lee even predicts Bitcoin might reach $200,000 by the end of 2025.
If it matches 2.9%, markets might pull back slightly because last month’s number was 2.7%.
If it is above 2.9%, it could trigger a broad sell-off across risk assets.
A softer and core CPI could increase chances of a big policy move at next week’s FOMC meeting. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, has forecast a bold fed rate cut of 50 basis points. He pointed to weak jobs data and falling two-year Treasury yields as signs that Jerome Powell may deliver stronger easing. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets currently see a 92% chance of a 25bps cut and an 8% chance of a 50bps cut.
Source: FedWatch Tool
Conclusion
The Consumer Price Index data release date could shape global markets this week. A lower reading might fuel rallies in stocks and crypto, while a hotter print could spark selling pressure. All eyes are now on the US CPI Data release to see if it confirms growing fed rate cut expectations.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before any crypto investment.