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Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Targets $100K After $80K Breakout

Lokesh Gupta Lokesh Gupta
Last Updated: May 5, 2026
Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Targets $100K

Whales Buy $362M as Bitcoin Breaks $80K for First Time in Months

Can Bitcoin actually reach $100,000 this year? If you have been watching the charts lately, the signals are getting harder to ignore.

Bitcoin just crossed $80,000 for the first time in three months. And this is not just a random price jump. Big players — whales — bought over 4,527 BTC worth roughly $362 million in just 24 hours.

When smart money moves that fast, something is usually brewing. Yet on-chain activity sits at two-year lows.

So what does that mean for you? Let's break it all down.

Why the Weekly MACD Crossover Is a Big Deal for Bitcoin

As per the popular crypto analyst Ali, the weekly MACD crossover fired on April 13. Historically, this exact signal has been one of the most reliable trend-starters in Bitcoin's history. In October 2023, it led to a 147% rally. In October 2024, prices jumped 75%.BTC Weekly MACD Crossover

Even the May 2025 crossover brought a clean 35% move. Since this latest crossover, Bitcoin is already up 15%. If history repeats even partially, the BTC price prediction points well above $80K.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Key Targets to Watch Right Now

On the daily chart, BTC is testing the 200 EMA sitting near $82,000. This is the single most important line on the chart right now. A clean daily close above $82K opens the door to $89,000 first, then $94,000. 

Fibonacci levels confirm these zones as major resistance-turned-support areas. The RSI sits at 67.74 — strong but not yet overbought, leaving room to run.

Why Whale Buying Makes BTC Credible

In the past 24 hours, whales snapped up 4,527 BTC — roughly $362 million worth. That is not scared money. That is conviction buying at a key breakout level.BTC Held By Whales

At the same time, net realized profits spiked to $207 million on Sunday, the highest in a month. Here's why that's actually bullish: the market absorbed hundreds of millions in profit-taking and still pushed above $80K.

When supply meets that much demand and prices still rise, it signals a healthy, confident market — not a fragile one.

Why Low On-Chain Activity Could Actually Be Bullish

Here is the tricky part. As per Santiment, On-chain activity has dropped to 2-year lows — only 531K daily transfers and 203K new wallets created each day. Normally, rising prices pull in new users.

That is not happening yet. But here is the flip side: Bitcoin is already reclaiming $80K with barely anyone showing up. When retail finally wakes up and wallet creation picks back up toward 2024–2025 peaks, the fuel for a bigger move arrives fast.

Profit-Taking Is Healthy, Not a Warning Sign

Net realized profits hit $207.56 million last Sunday — the highest in a month. Rather than being bearish, this shows strong buyer demand absorbing heavy selling pressure.BTC Net realized profits

New buyers stepping in near $80K build a solid support floor. Bears and bulls are fighting hard, too — $342 million in liquidations in 24 hours tells you this battle is real and active.

BTC Price Forecast Summary: Realistic Levels for 2026

Short-term target: $89,000. Mid-term target: $94,000. If the weekly MACD trend holds and retail interest returns, the path toward $100,000 remains open. The bear flag pattern forming on the daily chart adds caution — a breakdown below $77,000 would change the setup.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.

Lokesh Gupta

About the Author Lokesh Gupta

Research Analyst at coingabbar.com

Lokesh Gupta started his journey in financial markets 23 years ago and never looked back. From Forex to Comex, NSE, MCX, NCDEX, and now Crypto — he has seen it all. He holds an MBA in Finance and over the last 4 years, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and trending coins have become his main focus. People who follow his work say one thing — he keeps it real. No fancy language, no unnecessary complexity. Just honest market research that helps you understand what is happening and why it matters to your money.

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