ADA has suddenly moved back into focus. The token rose 6.30% in the last 24 hours, while the total crypto market cap climbed 3.19% to $2.45 trillion on Monday.
The recovery came as broader sentiment improved and pressure in the Middle East eased after the US halted attacks on Iranian power plants.
In simple terms, risk appetite returned, and Cardano responded quickly.
At the time of writing, the altcoin is trying to build strength after a long period of weakness. On the daily chart, ADA has traded inside a rectangular consolidation zone since February 1, 2026. Buyers keep stepping in near support, while sellers stay active near resistance.
This kind of pattern often signals balance in the market. Sellers no longer push prices lower with the same force, but buyers also need a catalyst to break the ceiling. That is why the $0.22 to $0.30 range matters so much right now.
Analyst Ali also pointed to a similar base structure around the $0.25 area in earlier cycles. In those cases, ADA later posted strong rebounds of 85% and 200%. That does not guarantee the same result this time, but it does show why traders now watch this zone more closely.
Several factors support a cautious but improving Cardano price prediction.
First, the MVRV level has dropped to around -43% for wallets active on the network over the past year. MVRV shows whether holders sit on profit or loss. When that reading turns deeply negative, it often means many investors already hold heavy losses. In past market cycles, that kind of stress has sometimes marked accumulation zones.
Second, funding rates on Binance show a sharp rise in short positions compared to longs. In fact, the short bias has reached its highest imbalance since June 2023. When too many traders lean to one side, the market sometimes moves the other way. If ADA breaks resistance, those shorts could unwind fast and add fuel to a rebound.
Third, the broader market has improved. Bitcoin dominance, sector behavior, and total market cap recovery all matter because ADA rarely moves in isolation. If risk appetite continues to recover, Cardano may benefit from that trend.
The daily chart still shows a larger downtrend, but the recent price structure looks more stable. The token continues to hold strong support near $0.22, while resistance sits around $0.28 to $0.30.
That range tells a simple story. Buyers defend dips, and sellers protect rallies. Over time, that repeated back-and-forth can build a base. The flattening of short-term moving averages also suggests that bearish momentum has started to weaken.
If the altcoin closes above $0.30 with strong volume, bulls could target $0.34 first and then $0.40 in the short to mid-term.
On the other hand, if the price loses $0.22, the range breaks down and opens the door to $0.18.
CoinGabbar analysis suggests that Cardano is entering an important decision zone. The chart shows a possible base, MVRV data points to deep holder stress, and the sharp imbalance in short positions creates room for a contrarian move.
Still, the signal is not confirmed yet. The altcoin needs a decisive move above $0.30 to turn this recovery into a stronger bullish trend. Until that happens, the market remains range-bound.
Disclaimer: This Cardano price prediction is for informational purposes only and not financial advice.
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