3 Days To China Silver Export Ban: How Will Silver Price React?

Will China Silver Export Ban and Samsung Battery ‘Break Silver Price?’

With just three days left until 2026, a massive financial event is about to happen. Starting January 1, 2026, China, the world’s second-largest silver producer is closing its trade gates. 

Under the new China Silver Export Ban, the government is using a rule called Announcement No. 68. This rule means companies need a special license to send this metal out of the country. 

Because of this major event, about 13% of the world's precious metal supply could disappear from global markets almost overnight. 

Let’s understand why this is happening, what impact will it have of white metal’s price.

“The China Silver Export Ban Factor”: What’s Behind This Massive Move? 

According to posts from the Money Ape X account, China Silver restrictions were not sudden. Under the Announcement No. 68, Beijing approved  export limits back in October, shipments were allowed to surge temporarily, and now the gates are closing.

Starting this week, to get a license, a company must produce at least 80 tonnes of white metal a year and have millions of dollars in the bank. This blocks most small and medium-sized sellers. 

Since the country controls about 60% to 70% of global white metal’s refining, this move puts the government in total control of how much the rest of the world gets. 

At the center of this shift is the China Silver Export Ban, which comes at a time when the asset’s market is already structurally broken.

Why China Banned It Now? The country is prioritizing its own “Green Transition.” The government wants to keep the precious asset for itself to stay ahead in:

• Solar Power: Newer solar panels need 50% more of these safe asset than older ones.

• Electric Cars (EVs): They have the world’s biggest EV market, and these cars need white metal for their electronics.

• Big Machines: Keeping the asset at home ensures Chinese factories have what they need to build high-tech tools.

Why Samsung Silver Battery News Made the Situation Worse?

The supply shock meets a massive new demand narrative: Samsung’s solid-state battery. Industry reports from Wall Street Gold suggest these batteries let an EV drive 900 km and charge in just 9 minutes. To do this, they use a special layer made of this safe-asset and carbon.

While speculations say these batteries use 1 kg of this safe-asset each, this hasn't been officially confirmed for mass production yet. Even if only 20% of new cars use this tech, it would eat up a huge amount of the world's precious metal.

This news came in exactly at the time China silver export ban and restrictions are surrounding the industry with fear, making the scenario even worse.

Will the Silver-Metal Price Surge Continue After China Cuts Supply?

Looking at the TradingView price charts, the asset is in a very "bullish" trend. The price is staying strong above the $76-$77 mark, which was a hard level to break before. 

With the RSI (14) near 70 and a positive MACD, momentum points toward a move to $82–$85.

Why is silver rising today ? It’s not just a guess, there is a real shortage. In cities like Shanghai, people are already paying over $80 for an ounce of precious metal because they want the real metal, not just a digital contract.

With the China silver export ban news today confirming the January 1st deadline, experts believe any small price drops are just "breaks" before the price jumps again toward $80 or even $100.

Do you know what is even more interesting to watch: This asset  isn't the only thing getting scarce. The Bitcoin supply shock is also happening. Data shows that long-term investors have "locked away" 74% of all Bitcoin, meaning there isn't much left for others to buy.

Both the tokens are becoming "hard to get," which usually makes prices go up fast when demand increases.

Conclusion

The China Silver Export Ban is more than just a new rule; it’s the start of a global crisis. With vaults down 70% and the Samsung battery news showing that demand is only going up.

In the coming days, if it stays above $75.00, it is expected to keep climbing. If it breaks past $80.00, Coingabbar crypto experts believe Silver price prediction 2026 target could move quickly toward $85 or $100. 

YMYL Disclaimer: Investing in hard assets can be risky sometimes because prices can change very fast. The information given above is only for educational purposes, and does not support any investment advice. Always "Do Your Own Research" before making any financial decision.