Why Are Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP Prices Down Today? CPI Data in Focus
Bitcoin Falls Below $77K: What's Next for Crypto Today?
Bitcoin price today slipped below $77,000, dragging the wider crypto market down with it. Ethereum sits near $2,465, and XRP has slid to around $1.33.
The reason is simple. Traders are nervous about Friday's CPI report and what it could mean for the Federal Reserve's next move.
A lot of people are asking why crypto is down today. The short answer is hot inflation data and rising Fed rate hike odds.
Why Is Crypto Down Today? Here's What's Driving the Sell-Off
Bitcoin usually sets the tone for the rest of the market. When it slips, altcoins tend to follow.
Traders are trimming positions ahead of Friday's CPI print instead of waiting for the actual number. That kind of early selling adds pressure across crypto and stocks alike.
The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand rose 0.4% in August, matching forecasts. On a yearly basis, PPI inflation jumped to 5.4% from 4.8% in July.
This report often sets the tone ahead of CPI, which lands Friday and could decide Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP's next big move.
How Friday's CPI Report Could Make or Break This Rally
The Consumer Price Index tracks how fast prices are rising for everyday goods. It's the Fed's main tool for judging inflation.
The August CPI report drops at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists expect headline inflation near 3.4% year-over-year, with core inflation around 2.4%.
Some analysts have laid out a simple playbook built around the prior CPI print of 3.4%. If inflation comes in above that, prices could fall hard. Below it, prices could rally. Right at 3.4%, expect a mixed, unclear reaction.
Here's why crypto traders care so much:
Lower than expected CPI: Eases pressure on the Fed, raises hopes for rate cuts, often lifts assets like XRP.
Higher than expected CPI: Keeps pressure on the Fed to hold or hike rates, which can strengthen the dollar and pull money out of crypto.
This comes right before the Fed's September 16 policy meeting, so today's numbers carry extra weight.
Fed Rate-Hike Odds Just Hit 69.6% — Here's Why That Matters
Markets are now pricing in a 69.6% chance of a rate hike at the September 16 meeting.
Timeframe | Probability of Rate Hike |
Now | 69.6% |
1 day ago | 61.2% |
1 week ago | 59.4% |
1 month ago | 48.4% |
That's a sharp climb in just a month. Rising rate hike odds tend to weigh on risk-on assets like crypto.
Weak jobs data adds more pressure. August payrolls grew by just 22,000, far below the roughly 75,000 expected. Unemployment ticked up to 4.3%.
Oil breaking above $100 a barrel adds another layer of inflation worry, which narrows the Fed's options even further.
Is Fear Creeping Back Into the Crypto Market?
The Fear & Greed Index reads 56 as of September 11, still in Greed territory, but cooling off fast.
Yesterday's score was 69. Last week it was 74. A month ago, the index sat at 27, deep in Fear.
So sentiment has come down from recent highs, but the market still leans more greedy than fearful overall.
$465 Million Wiped Out in 24 Hours as Traders Get Liquidated
As per CoinGlass Liquidation Data, the past 24 hours saw $465.72 million in total crypto liquidations. Long positions took the bigger hit at $360.07 million, while shorts lost $105.65 million.
Asset | Liquidations (24h) |
Bitcoin | $121.42M |
Ethereum | $93.97M |
ZEC | $29.35M |
CL | $21.48M |
BZ | $15.02M |
HYPE | $14.63M |
In total, 93,810 traders got liquidated. The largest single order was $22.63 million on Bitget for ETHUSDT.
Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs See Outflows — But XRP Just Bucked the Trend
As per SoSoValue, on September 10, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw total net outflows of $283 million. That marks three straight days of outflows.
Ark & 21Shares led the exodus, losing $164.32 million. Grayscale's GBTC followed with $36.38 million pulled out.
Ethereum spot ETFs saw net outflows of $29.76 million. BlackRock's ETHB was the exception, pulling in $13.95 million, while Fidelity lost $25.15 million from its fund.
XRP ETFs told a different story. Franklin Templeton recorded the day's only inflow, adding $5.14 million.
The $76,000 Level That Could Decide Bitcoin's Next Move
The 4-hour BTC/USD chart shows a rounding-top pattern. Price is now testing the lower edge of a rising channel near $76,000 to $76,500.
Level Type | Price Zone |
Support | $76,000 - $76,500 |
Breakdown confirmation | 4H close below $76,000 |
Downside target | ~$70,000 |
Recovery resistance 1 | $78,400 - $79,400 |
Recovery resistance 2 | $80,000 - $82,000 |
Bullish invalidation | Sustained close above $82,000 |
The RSI on the 4-hour chart sits at 37.35, close to oversold but not quite there. Sellers still seem to have some control, though a bounce isn't off the table.
Crash or Correction? What the Charts Are Really Saying
Not every drop is a crash. Bitcoin has fallen from around $82,000 to about $77,000. By crypto standards, that's a normal pullback, not a full crash.
That said, a confirmed break below $76,000 would raise the odds of a sharper move toward $70,000.
Anyone asking why Bitcoin is falling should watch that $76,000 level closely over the next day or two.
Ethereum's Make-or-Break Levels This Week
On the daily chart, ETH price is holding above its 20-day EMA near $2,411. It's also above its 50-, 100-, and 200-day EMAs, which sit between roughly $2,123 and $2,232.
Price has been moving sideways between $2,350 and $2,550, forming something close to a bull flag. RSI sits around 59.9, firm but not overheated.
Key resistance: $2,550 to $2,565
Key support: $2,410, then $2,350, then $2,230
A daily close above $2,550 to $2,565 could open a path toward $2,700 to $2,800, with a longer-term target near $3,000 to $3,050.
A daily close below $2,350 would weaken this setup and could send ETH back toward $2,200 to $2,230.
Some longer-term chart watchers see ETH testing a multi-year resistance zone for the third time. A clean breakout could eventually open the door toward $5,000 and beyond, though that's a longer horizon view, not a short-term call.
XRP Could Rally to $1.70 — or Slide Toward $1.26. Here's the Line
XRP is trading around $1.34, taking support from the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near $1.344.
If XRP holds that level and breaks above the falling channel around $1.42 to $1.45, it could aim for $1.55, then $1.70.
If it breaks below $1.344 and fails to reclaim it, price could slide toward $1.30 and then the 38.2% Fibonacci level near $1.26.
Today also brings an XRPL amendment activation alongside the CPI print. The two events are unrelated, but both feed into the same question: will risk appetite hold up into the Fed's September 16 decision?
The CLARITY Act's September 15 procedural vote adds another item to watch next week.
Two Big Catalysts Are About to Collide Next Week
Today's CPI print and Wednesday's Fed decision aren't the only events on the calendar — the CLARITY Act (Digital Asset Market Clarity Act) has a procedural vote scheduled for September 15, the day before the FOMC announcement, adding a regulatory catalyst into the same stretch as the macro data. Both feed into the same underlying question: will risk appetite hold up into the Fed's September 16 decision, and will markets get a hike, a hold, or something that splits the difference?
For now, $76,000 on Bitcoin, $2,410 on Ethereum, and the low-$1.30s on XRP are the lines in the sand. How price reacts to today's CPI print over the next 24–48 hours will likely set the tone for the broader crypto market heading into next week.
Disclaimer
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile and involve significant risk of loss. Past performance and chart patterns do not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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