Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP Crash: Will Prices Recover After US Midterms?

Lokesh Gupta
Lokesh Gupta
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Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP Crash: Will Prices Recover After US Midterms?

The crypto market is trading near $2.58 trillion, down 1% in 24 hours. Traders are nervous before the US midterms, and the fallout from the Binance hack is still weighing on mood.

Bitcoin slipped about 1% to around $77,000. Ethereum lost 0.56% but held $2,250. XRP is fighting to keep $1.25.

Fear Index Sinks to 26 as $340M in Longs Get Wiped Out

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index now reads 26, which is Fear. It was 37 yesterday and 48 last week, a Neutral reading. Last month it stood at 65, or Greed.

Leverage took the hit. Liquidations reached $386.42 million in 24 hours, and 94,909 traders were wiped out. Longs made up 88.2%, or $340.74 million. Shorts were 11.8%, or $45.68 million.

The pain was not even across the clock. Over the past 12 hours, longs lost $66.34 million. In the last hour and the last four hours, shorts took more of the hit.

Period

Total Liquidated

Longs

Shorts

1 hour

$5.78M

$540.06K

$5.24M

4 hours

$19.21M

$8.33M

$10.88M

12 hours

$85.16M

$66.34M

$18.82M

24 hours

$386.42M

$340.74M

$45.68M

Binance accounted for 49.3% of the liquidations. The largest single order was an $8.78 million BTCUSDT long on Binance at $76,599.68.$340M in Longs Get Wiped Out

Which Coins Took the Biggest Hit

Asset

24H Liquidations

Long Share

Bitcoin (BTC)

$101.20M

90.6%

Ethereum (ETH)

$49.33M

75.7%

Solana (SOL)

$23.42M

n/a

SNDK

$16.45M

n/a

ZEC

$14.55M

n/a

SOXL

$14.45M

n/a

HYPE

$10.50M

n/a

NEAR

$10.14M

n/a

Other coins

$52.74M

87.5%

Bitcoin alone made up about a quarter of the total. SNDK, ZEC, and SOXL also saw big liquidations, which shows the stress went well beyond the top coins.

ETF Outflows Hit Bitcoin and Ethereum, XRP Holds Up

Asset

1-Day Flow

30-Day Flow

BTC

-$398.62M

-$1.21B

ETH

-$139.80M

-$1.65B

XRP

-$529.51K

+$17.52M

Data as of Nov. 2.

Asset

Cumulative Net Inflow

Net Assets

ETF % of Market Cap

Value Traded

BTC

$56.60B

$98.12B

6.33%

$1.99B

ETH

$12.15B

$13.18B

4.75%

$577.77M

XRP

$1.81B

$1.42B

1.79%

$18.26M

Bitcoin's market cap sits at $1.55 trillion. Ethereum's is $277.63 billion, and XRP's is $79.59 billion.

Short-term demand from big money looks softer for BTC and ETH. XRP funds still show small inflows over 30 days, though the one-day flow was slightly negative.ETF Outflows Hit Bitcoin and Ethereum, XRP Holds Up

Bitcoin Eyes $75,000 Dip-Buy Zone After $79,000 Rejection

Analyst Michaël van de Poppe sees $75,000 as an "obvious long" zone. He points to a clear rejection at $79,000 that pushed price back toward the lows. He also thinks the US midterms could mark a low in a "sell the rumor, buy the news" move.

If selling speeds up after the Binance hack and the election, $73,000 is the next level to watch. That is near the short-term holder cost basis.

Level

Why It Matters

$79,000

Clear rejection, key resistance

$77,600

Area tested late Sunday

$76,600

Current trading zone

$75,000

Dip-buy zone flagged by van de Poppe

$73,000

Short-term holder cost basis

A bounce above $77,600 would ease some pressure. A break below $75,000 would put $73,000 in focus.

The setup can flip fast, so traders should watch the weekly close.

Ethereum Nears Key Decision Zone Around $2,287

One trader says ETH, near $2,287, is approaching a major higher-timeframe decision zone. He sees current levels as a decent entry.

His ideal accumulation zone is $1,800 to $1,900. That is where a bullish order block meets a fair value gap. He wants a liquidity sweep and bullish confirmation first.

If that plan works, his long-term targets are $2,700, $3,200, $4,400, $6,000, and $10,000.

These are one trader's views, not forecasts. ETH could move either way.

XRP Squeeze Hints at Big Move Near $1.25

XRP trades at $1.2527, down 0.68% in 24 hours. Market cap is $79.01 billion, with 63.35 billion coins in circulation. Spot volume is $360.48 million.

Price has moved sideways for three days after a sharp drop last week. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands have squeezed to their narrowest level since August. The last time that happened, the token jumped 71% in just three days.

A squeeze does not show direction, though. It only says a bigger move may be close.

Analyst Ali Charts shared the 4-hour chart with the tight bands. A close above $1.27 is bullish for him, and a close below $1.23 is bearish.

Level

Price

What It Means

Bullish trigger

4H close above $1.27

Buyers may gain control

Bearish trigger

4H close below $1.23

Sellers may take over

No-trade zone

$1.23 to $1.27

Price is stuck in a range

First recovery test

$1.28 to $1.30

Early sign of a bounce

Stronger resistance

$1.33 to $1.36

Heavy supply area

Major overhead level

$1.50

Dashed line on the daily chart

Support zone

$1.24 to $1.22

Break could open at $1.20 and $1.15

Analyst Ali Charts shared the 4-hour chart with the tight bands

Daily Chart Still Leans Bearish

On the daily chart, XRP has broken below its descending channel support. It now trades under all four major moving averages.

Indicator

Value

20 EMA

$1.3006

50 EMA

$1.3366

100 EMA

$1.3243

200 EMA

$1.3637

RSI (14)

37.45

RSI average

39.87

The RSI sits below its own average, so momentum still favors sellers. Still, the last three candles are small. That hints at a pause, and a short relief bounce is possible.

If $1.24 to $1.22 fails, the next stops are $1.20 and then $1.15. A daily breakout above $1.28 to $1.30 would be the first real sign of recovery. The $1.50 level is far above for now.

Where Crypto Could Go Next

The next move likely depends on the election result, ETF flows, and the Fed. Nothing is certain here.

If buyers defend $75,000 for Bitcoin and $1.22 for XRP, a recovery after the US midterms is possible. If not, deeper dips are on the table.

Disclaimer

This article is for information only and is not financial advice. Crypto is volatile, and you can lose money. Do your own research before trading.

Lokesh Gupta

About the Author Lokesh Gupta

Research Analyst at coingabbar.com

Lokesh Gupta started his journey in financial markets 23 years ago and never looked back. From Forex to Comex, NSE, MCX, NCDEX, and now Crypto — he has seen it all. He holds an MBA in Finance and over the last 4 years, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, and trending coins have become his main focus. People who follow his work say one thing — he keeps it real. No fancy language, no unnecessary complexity. Just honest market research that helps you understand what is happening and why it matters to your money.

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