Clarity Act Approval Gains Steam as Polymarket Signals 60% Odds

Coinbase CEO Statement Pushes 60% Odds Toward Clarity Act Approval

The latest update shared by BSCNews on its official X platform highlights growing optimism around Clarity Act Approval. According to the report, Polymarket traders currently estimate a 60% chance that the legislation becomes law by 2026. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted that clearer digital asset rules could stabilize investor confidence and strengthen market sentiment. In an interview, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said Donald Trump is expected to sign the bill in the near term, reinforcing expectations that Clarity Act Approval may move closer to reality.

Polymarket Data Signals Rising Confidence

Polymarket provides real-time probability tracking for major political and policy events. One specific market asks: Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? The outcome resolves Yes if Congress passes the proposal and the President signs it before December 31, 2026.
Odds have shifted over time, moving from roughly 53% to 59% and recently hovering near 61–62%, which media coverage summarizes as about a 60% chance.

Why media references Polymarket:

1. Reflects investor sentiment and insider expectations

2. Shows policy momentum with real-time updates

Prediction markets matter because they translate collective belief into measurable probability. Rising percentages suggest improving confidence, while sudden drops indicate uncertainty. For Bill Update Approval, the steady upward movement signals a stronger belief that lawmakers may reach an agreement.

Armstrong Interview Highlights Progress

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong discussed negotiations during a CNBC interview, stating that talks are making “great progress” and that a clear path forward now exists. His comments boosted optimism across the digital asset sector and supported the narrative that Clarity Act Approval could happen sooner than previously expected.

Armstrong explained that Trump may sign the proposal soon for several reasons:

1. The President is responsible for final approval

2. The administration has shown support for crypto regulation

3. The framework aligns with broader policy priorities

4. Lawmakers want progress before political conditions change

He also noted that a successful outcome could deliver multiple benefits:

1. A win for crypto industry growth

2. A win for banking integration

3. A win for consumer protection

Previous Disagreements and New Momentum

Earlier discussions around the legislation stalled because banks and blockchain companies struggled to reach consensus on rules, especially regarding oversight, stablecoin treatment, and compliance standards. These differences slowed progress and prevented a final decision.

Recent developments suggest that negotiations are improving. Financial institutions and digital asset firms are increasingly working toward common ground, focusing on frameworks that balance innovation with risk management. Reports indicate ongoing discussions are producing compromise models that align interests across both sectors.

This shift is important because regulatory bill often unlocks institutional participation, reduces uncertainty, and supports long-term ecosystem expansion. As dialogue becomes more constructive, expectations surrounding Clarity Act Approval continue to strengthen.

Conclusion:

Overall, prediction market data, policy discussions, and industry cooperation indicate improving momentum toward Clarity Act Approval. While uncertainty remains, rising probability signals growing confidence that lawmakers may finalize legislation, potentially reshaping digital asset regulation before 2026.