Pi Coin Price Prediction 2026: Buy or Exit After 2.5M Migration?

2.5 Million Migrations and Supply Shocks: What Is Next for Pi?

Pi Network has started 2026 with a move that surprised many in the crypto market.

A debate around Pi Coin Price Prediction 2026 has returned to the spotlight after the Core Team cleared the way for 2.5 million Pioneers who were stuck for years.

This Pi mainnet migration has split opinion.

Some see it as a step toward real progress, while others fear it could open the door for a large exit wave. 

Token now sits in a sensitive phase where one decision can shape how the market treats it next.

For traders and pioneers, the question is no longer about patience.

It is about direction. 

Is this update building a base for recovery or setting up the next round of pressure?

The answer is unfolding, and the chart is starting to react.

Decoding the 2.5M Migration: Exit Door or Entry Point?

According to the Network Core Team (@PiCoreTeam), when migration was cleared for 2.5 million stuck Pioneers, the market split in opinion.

Some saw it as progress toward a usable mainnet. 

Others saw it as a long-delayed exit chance for users who waited too long.

This update is not just technical; it is emotional too. 

If most users migrate to leave, selling pressure grows. If they migrate to stay, coin gets time to stabilize.

That is why this move feels like a decision point, not a celebration.

For Pi Coin price outlook, migration is about intent, not numbers.

The Supply Shock Traders Are Watching

According to recent Piscan data, February 2026 brings a 193,609,286 π token unlock, making it the largest release of the year. 

Events like this usually slow buyers and wake up sellers.

Price is already trading near the $0.16 zone, close to its recent low around $0.1462. That makes the timing uncomfortable.

Two things are hitting together: user movement and new supply.

For Coin Price Outlook, the real test is absorption. 

If demand handles this unlock, price can breathe. If not, the market may need lower levels before balance returns

Foundation Wallet Move and Market Pressure

According to data shared by Pi Network Alerts (@PiNetworkAlerts), a transfer of 500 million token was tracked from Foundation wallets on 3 February 2026.

The move came just after the 2.5 million Pioneer migration was unblocked, which made traders cautious about the timing.

Price is now trading close to its record low near $0.1462, turning this area into a make-or-break zone. 

At the same time, the 193,609,286 π token unlock in February is adding more supply pressure.

What The Chart Says For Pi Coin

The daily chart on TradingView shows a clear downtrend structure for a long time. Some technical factors are shaping the current Pi Coin forecast

Falling Trendline Resistance: Price remains below a sharp downward trendline. Until price closes above this trendline on the daily chart, every bounce risks turning into a selling opportunity.

50 EMA Barrier: The 50-day EMA is positioned above price and is acting as dynamic resistance. Historically, as long as price trades below this level, the broader trend remains weak.

Critical Support at $0.1462: The $0.1462–$0.1464 zone has become the key bottom area on the chart. If this level breaks under pressure from Foundation transfers and token unlocks, price could slide toward the listing area near $0.1000.

Oversold RSI: RSI is stuck in the 27–30 range, showing extreme selling pressure and raising the chance of a short-term technical bounce.

What Next? The Bullish Reversal Case

For coin to stage a reversal, it must first break above the falling trendline. After that, price needs to reclaim the $0.1763, $0.1952, and $0.2150 resistance zones.

Until these levels are cleared, waiting for confirmation may be safer than chasing early entries.

Conclusion

Token stands at a crossroads in 2026. The 2.5 million migration has restarted activity, but token unlocks and Foundation wallet moves are still pressuring price. The market is testing how much supply it can absorb.

From a Pi Coin Price Prediction 2026 view, this phase is about behavior, not hope. Holding the current base and reclaiming resistance can support recovery. Losing support may turn migration into an exit window.

For now, the decision is timing. Buy only after confirmation. Exit if structure weakens. Price remains in a wait-and-watch zone.

YMYL Disclaimer: This article is strictly informational in nature and does not constitute an investment recommendation. Investment in cryptocurrencies is extremely volatile, and market conditions can change quickly based on macro data. It is always essential to do your own research before making any investment.