XRP Price Prediction: Is Another 71% Rally Coming After the Squeeze?
This XRP price prediction starts with a simple fact. The token is trading near $1.25 after a sharp drop last week, and the price has moved sideways for three days.
The 4-hour Bollinger Bands have squeezed to their narrowest level since August. The last time that happened, the token jumped 71% in just three days.
A squeeze does not show direction, though. It only says a bigger move may be close.
XRP Price Today: Key Levels at a Glance
The token sits at $1.2527, down 0.68% in 24 hours. Market cap is $79.01 billion, with 63.35 billion coins in circulation. Spot volume is $360.48 million.
Here are the levels that shape this XRP price prediction right now.
Level | Price | What it means |
Bullish trigger | 4H close above $1.27 | Buyers may gain control |
Bearish trigger | 4H close below $1.23 | Sellers may take over |
No-trade zone | $1.23 to $1.27 | Price is stuck in a range |
First recovery test | $1.28 to $1.30 | Early sign of a bounce |
Stronger resistance | $1.33 to $1.36 | Heavy supply area |
Major overhead level | $1.50 | Dashed line on the daily chart |
Support zone | $1.24 to $1.22 | Break could open at $1.20 and $1.15 |
Bollinger Squeeze Points to a Big Move, Not a Clear Direction
Analyst Ali Charts shared the 4-hour chart with the tight bands. A close above $1.27 is bullish for him, and a close below $1.23 is bearish.
Until one of those happens, $1.23 to $1.27 is a no-trade zone. That is a fair view. Low volatility often comes before a sharp move, but nobody knows which way it breaks.
Daily Chart Still Leans Bearish
On the daily chart, the price has broken below its descending channel support. It now trades under all four major moving averages.
Indicator | Value |
20 EMA | $1.3006 |
50 EMA | $1.3366 |
100 EMA | $1.3243 |
200 EMA | $1.3637 |
RSI (14) | 37.45 |
RSI average | 39.87 |
The RSI sits below its own average, which shows momentum still favors sellers. Still, the last three candles are small. That hints at a pause, and a short relief bounce is possible.
If $1.24 to $1.22 fails, the next stops are $1.20 and then $1.15. For any XRP price prediction, a daily breakout above $1.28 to $1.30 would be the first real sign of recovery. The $1.50 level is far above for now.
Derivatives Data Shows Leverage Building Up
Futures volume hit $1.99 billion, up 50.55%. Open interest stands at $2.92 billion. Options volume rose 59.25% to $5.49 million, and options open interest is $62.41 million, up 5.64%.
Long/short ratios lean bullish, but the picture is not the same everywhere.
Metric | Ratio |
24-hour long/short | 0.8208 |
Binance XRP/USDT (accounts) | 2.5714 |
OKX XRP (accounts) | 3.5 |
Binance top traders (accounts) | 3.0225 |
Binance top traders (positions) | 2.0927 |
Retail accounts lean long. Top traders hold fewer long positions than the account count suggests, which is worth noting.
Liquidations Hit Longs Hardest
Over 24 hours, liquidations reached $2.39 million. Longs took $2.20 million, and shorts only $196.21K.
Period | Total | Long | Short |
1 hour | $43.56K | $43.56K | $0 |
4 hours | $66.01K | $65.44K | $570.17 |
12 hours | $1.93M | $1.87M | $61.43K |
24 hours | $2.39M | $2.20M | $196.21K |
Long Squeeze Risk Below $1.24
Analyst Cryptoinsightuk pointed to a gap between price and positioning. Open interest rose 6.7% while price slipped 0.15%, and funding stayed positive.
That mix usually means new money comes from leveraged longs. A drop under $1.24 could trigger a chain of long liquidations before any steady recovery.
ETF Flows and Network Growth Tell a Mixed Story
US spot XRP ETFs saw a net outflow of $529.51K on November 2. Cumulative net inflows still sit at $1.81 billion.
Total trading value was $18.26 million. Net assets are $1.42 billion, about 1.80% of the market cap.
Fund | Net assets |
Bitwise | $518.55M |
Franklin | $387.48M |
Canary | $304.33M |
On the network side, Santiment reported 7,934 new wallets on November 1. That was the sixth-highest day of 2026, and it came on a Sunday, usually a quiet day. The jump followed the Binance hack, which may have pushed users toward self-custody.
If new wallets stay above roughly 4K per day while price reclaims $1.30, the setup looks better. A fall under $1.20 with wallets below 3K would weaken it.
Ripple's Institutional Push Adds Long-Term Context
At the Swell event, CEO Brad Garlinghouse spoke about payments, corporate treasury, and prime brokerage. Ripple processed over $16 trillion in 2025, but 99.9% stayed on traditional finance rails.
He wants to move 1% to 3% of that activity on-chain next year. He also said the RLUSD stablecoin supports XRP and does not replace it.
What Could Happen Next
In this XRP price prediction, the $1.25 level is the pivot, and $1.30 is the first area that would confirm stronger momentum.
Bulls need a strong close above the range. Bears need a clean break under $1.23. The next strong daily candle will likely set the tone.
Disclaimer
This article is for information only and is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Crypto assets are volatile, and you can lose some or all of your money. Price predictions are not guaranteed. Do your own research and speak with a licensed financial advisor before making any decision.
